TI · LIVE
Manhattan, NY$14.75 9.3%·Brooklyn, NY$15.75 16.8%·Boston, MA$11.50 14.8%·Cambridge, MA$12.55 7%·Washington, DC$13.85 2.7%·Philadelphia, PA$10.95 18.8%·Los Angeles, CA$11.25 16.6%·West Hollywood, CA$12.85 4.7%·Oakland, CA$13.00 3.6%·Seattle, WA$11.90 11.8%·Denver, CO$10.65 21.1%·Houston, TX$10.45 22.5%·Dallas, TX$11.90 11.8%·San Antonio, TX$12.15 9.9%·Miami, FL$12.75 5.5%·Nashville, TN$12.35 8.5%·Chicago, IL$12.95 4%·Detroit, MI$12.15 9.9%·Indianapolis, IN$12.55 7%·Cleveland, OH$11.40 15.5%·Columbus, OH$12.50 7.3%·Kansas City, MO$12.15 9.9%·Birmingham, AL$12.35 8.5%·Manhattan, NY$14.75 9.3%·Brooklyn, NY$15.75 16.8%·Boston, MA$11.50 14.8%·Cambridge, MA$12.55 7%·Washington, DC$13.85 2.7%·Philadelphia, PA$10.95 18.8%·Los Angeles, CA$11.25 16.6%·West Hollywood, CA$12.85 4.7%·Oakland, CA$13.00 3.6%·Seattle, WA$11.90 11.8%·Denver, CO$10.65 21.1%·Houston, TX$10.45 22.5%·Dallas, TX$11.90 11.8%·San Antonio, TX$12.15 9.9%·Miami, FL$12.75 5.5%·Nashville, TN$12.35 8.5%·Chicago, IL$12.95 4%·Detroit, MI$12.15 9.9%·Indianapolis, IN$12.55 7%·Cleveland, OH$11.40 15.5%·Columbus, OH$12.50 7.3%·Kansas City, MO$12.15 9.9%·Birmingham, AL$12.35 8.5%·
Vol. I · No. 1Tuesday, May 12, 2026Price: One Burrito

The Tortilla Index

A people's almanac of American inflation, one tortilla at a time.

Est. 2026·Real BLS Data·Named Restaurants Only
▌Cover Story · Twenty Years on the Tortilla

America's lunch
quietly ran
past inflation.

In 2006 a Chipotle chicken burrito cost $5.30. Twenty years of official CPI says that same burrito should cost $8.54 today. It doesn't. It costs $10.95. That gap — between the burrito and the index meant to measure it — is what this site exists to explain.

The Gap · 2006 → 2026
What the burrito should cost (CPI)
$5.30
What the burrito actually costs
$5.30
▲ 28% above what inflation predicts

All figures: BLS CPI-U (1982–84 = 100), rebased to 2006. Burrito = Chipotle chicken nat'l average.

§ Figure 2 · The Burrito vs. The Index

Twenty years on the tortilla.

A single Chipotle chicken burrito (solid), plotted against what the same item would cost today if it had merely tracked official CPI (dashed). Hover the chart to read either line at any year.

Burrito actual$10.40
If burrito had tracked CPI$8.54
The gap▲ $1.86 (22%)
$4$6$8$10$12200620102014201820202022202420262006 · $5.30Chipotle IPO. A chicken burrito cost a fiver and a quarter.2008 · $5.65Financial crisis. Steak goes up 30¢.2014 · $6.75Steak/barbacoa hit $9.20 in NYC.
Sources: Chipotle 10-K filings, contemporary press, BLS CPI-U All Items.Hover anywhere on the chart to read both lines at that year.
§ The Argument

Why the burrito has outrun
official inflation by 1.6×.

A Chipotle chicken burrito cost $5.30 in 2006 and $10.95 in 2026. That's a 107% increase over twenty years. Headline CPI is up 61% over the same period.

The gap is not bad luck. It is the inevitable result of two forces that most of CPI ignores.

Thesis One

The burrito is a hand-made object.

Economist William Baumol observed in the 1960s that labor-intensive services (live music, haircuts, classrooms) get more expensive faster than goods, because the labor inside them cannot be automated away. CPI is dominated by goods. The burrito is not a good. It is a tortilla, three scoops, and a person — and the person has had a difficult two decades.

The technical term is Baumol's cost disease. The burrito version: the line cook will not move at twice the speed because the Fed wants him to.

Thesis Two

Half the country raised its wage floor. Half didn't.

The federal minimum wage has been $7.25 since 2009. Texas, Mississippi, and 17 other states stayed there. California's fast-food minimum is now $20.00. That's a 176% gap in the cost of the worker assembling your lunch.

The burrito didn't get more expensive in the abstract. It got more expensive in the states that decided to pay people more. The geography below makes this argument in pixels.

§ Figure 1 · State Minimum Wage vs. Burrito Price (2026)

Where labor is expensive, lunch is expensive.

Each row pairs a state's minimum wage (top, ink) with the average burrito price in that state (bottom, salsa). The correlation is not subtle.

California · Fast-food minimum (AB 1228, 2024)
Min wage
$20.00
Burrito
$13.49
Washington · Statewide minimum, highest in the U.S.
Min wage
$16.66
Burrito
$13.00
New York · NYC; statewide $15.5 elsewhere
Min wage
$16.50
Burrito
$13.95
Illinois · Reached $15 floor in 2025
Min wage
$15.00
Burrito
$12.50
Colorado · Indexed to inflation annually
Min wage
$14.81
Burrito
$12.00
Florida · Phasing to $15 by 2026
Min wage
$13.00
Burrito
$11.50
Ohio · Indexed to CPI
Min wage
$10.70
Burrito
$10.25
Texas · Federal floor
Min wage
$7.25
Burrito
$9.95
Nebraska · Recently raised; lower cost of living
Min wage
$13.50
Burrito
$9.50

California pays its fast-food workers nearly 2.8× the federal minimum and charges about 35% more for the same chain burrito as Texas. Texans, in turn, get a burrito for $2.50 less than New Yorkers.

Nebraska is the surprise — high-ish wage, low-ish prices, low rent. The dollar still buys a real lunch there. Geographic flexibility, it turns out, is the single most expensive ingredient in any modern burrito.

Sources: U.S. Department of Labor (Federal & State Minimum Wage), Chipotle Q1 2026 menu sampling, Toast Restaurant Trends Dec 2025. State burrito prices reflect chain-burrito averages, not full-service Mexican restaurants.
§ Figure 3 · Same Burrito, Different City

The Chipotle Index.

One chain. One chicken burrito. 23 cities. The same item ranges from $10.45 to $15.75. The driver is mostly labor: high-min-wage states pay measurably more for the same foil tube.

Cities sampled23
Median city price$12.35
Avg in $15+ min-wage cities$12.82
Avg in <$15 min-wage cities$11.97
7% premium where labor is more expensive
Sort:
City
State min wage
Burrito price
Source
Brooklyn
NY
$16.50
$15.75
Manhattan
NY
$16.50
$14.75
Washington
DC
$17.95
$13.85
Oakland
CA
$20.00
$13.00
Chicago
IL
$16.60
$12.95
West Hollywood
CA
$20.00
$12.85
Miami
FL
$13.00
$12.75
Cambridge
MA
$15.00
$12.55
Indianapolis
IN
$7.25
$12.55
Columbus
OH
$10.70
$12.50
Nashville
TN
$7.25
$12.35
Birmingham
AL
$7.25
$12.35
San Antonio
TX
$7.25
$12.15
Detroit
MI
$12.48
$12.15
Kansas City
MO
$13.75
$12.15
Seattle
WA
$20.76
$11.90
Dallas
TX
$7.25
$11.90
Boston
MA
$15.00
$11.50
Cleveland
OH
$10.70
$11.40
Los Angeles
CA
$20.00
$11.25
Philadelphia
PA
$7.25
$10.95
Denver
CO
$18.81
$10.65
Houston
TX
$7.25
$10.45

Most prices are taken from DoorDash or Uber Eats listings for a specific local Chipotle, which carry an approximate 10–13% delivery markup over in-store. Where the walk-in chain menu page surfaces a city-specific price, we used that instead. State minimum wages reflect 2026 floors (California's $20 is the fast-food minimum under AB 1228, not the statewide minimum, which is $16.50).

§ Chapter Two

Burrito vs. CPI.

Three indices, all rebased to 100 in 2006. One of them grew up like a normal child. The other took the elevator. Toggle the lines.

100130160190200620102014201820222026+96%+94%+61%
§ Field Map

The Burrito Map of America.

Twenty-four cities. One outlier so dramatic it nearly broke the legend. Hover any dot for the local damage.

CATXFLNYILCOWAGA
§ Tortilla Pain Index

Where does your city
land on the index?

Enter your city. We compute a 0–100 score from the burritos we've tracked nearby, calibrated so $5 = 0 and $25 = 100.

try:
§ A National-Average Burrito ($10.95) Equals
3.17
gallons of gas.
U.S. avg ~$3.45/gal.
Auto-rotating · hover to pause · all numbers calibrated to a $10.95 burrito · sources: BLS, EIA, DOL
§ Featured Restaurants

The restaurants in
our dataset, today.

Restaurants tracked70
Price verified ≤90 days70
Verified median$12.37

Every entry links to a public source. Green tags mean we confirmed the price from the restaurant's own menu within the last 90 days. Yellow tags mean we have a credible third-party source but haven't yet verified from the primary site. Submit corrections in the Manifesto.

▸ At the higher end
  1. #01 · Institution
    VERIFIED
    El Tepeyac Cafe — Manuel's Special
    Los Angeles, CA
    $37.50Manuel's Special Burrito (5 lbs, feeds 2-4)
    Finish solo and get a free t-shirt. Range $35–$40 across coverage.
    SRC Verified · Toast online ordering · 2026-05-12
  2. #02 · Fine dining
    VERIFIED
    El Mexicano Restaurant
    Miami, FL
    $23.00Burrito (Beef, melted cheese, red sauce)
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  3. #03 · Fine dining
    VERIFIED
    La Vaca Birria
    San Francisco, CA
    $22.00Grilled Cheese Beef Birria Burrito
    Owner Ricardo Lopez raised the price from $11 to $22, citing beef costs up >$2/lb. Covered by NBC Bay Area and CBS SF.
    SRC Press / news coverage · 2026-05-12
  4. #04 · Fine dining
    VERIFIED
    El Tiempo Cantina
    Houston, TX
    $21.39Texas Red Burrito
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  5. #05 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Señor Sisig
    San Francisco, CA
    $17.94Señor Sisig Burrito
    Filipino-Mexican fusion.
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  6. #06 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    La Fogata
    San Antonio, TX
    $16.99Burrito
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  7. #07 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Papalote Mexican Grill
    San Francisco, CA
    $16.50Pollo Asado Burrito
    SRC Verified · Yelp menu · 2026-05-12
  8. #08 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Calexico
    Brooklyn, NY
    $16.50Pollo Asado Burrito
    SRC Verified · Toast online ordering · 2026-05-12
  9. #09 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Cofax Coffee
    Los Angeles, CA
    $16.00Bacon Breakfast Burrito
    Brisket variant up to $18, pastrami $19.
    SRC Verified · Toast online ordering · 2026-05-12
  10. #10 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Cilantro
    New York, NY
    $16.00Chicken Burrito
    SRC Verified · Toast online ordering · 2026-05-12
  11. #11 · Fine dining
    VERIFIED
    Añejo Hell's Kitchen
    New York, NY
    $16.00Carnitas Burrito
    Lamb barbacoa or shrimp variants +$2.
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  12. #12 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Tacos 1986
    Los Angeles, CA
    $15.60Asada Burrito
    SRC Verified · Yelp menu · 2026-05-12
  13. #13 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Rito's Mexican Food
    Phoenix, AZ
    $15.20Carne Asada Burrito
    Enchilada-style variant $19.70.
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  14. #14 · National chain
    VERIFIED
    Tin Lizzy's Cantina
    Atlanta, GA
    $15.00Steak Burrito
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  15. #15 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Antique Taco
    Chicago, IL
    $14.95Fried Chicken Burrito
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  16. #16 · National chain
    VERIFIED
    Moe's Southwest Grill
    Nationwide, US
    $14.89Homewrecker Burrito (Chicken)
    Moe Monday promo runs $6.99 same-day.
    SRC 3rd-party aggregator · 2026-05-12
  17. #17 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Taqueria Guadalajara
    San Francisco, CA
    $14.70Super Burrito
    SRC Verified · Yelp menu · 2026-05-12
  18. #18 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    La Corneta
    San Francisco, CA
    $14.50Super Burrito
    SRC Verified · Official menu · 2026-05-12
  19. #19 · Independent
    VERIFIED
    Taqueria Cancun
    San Francisco, CA
    $14.00Super Burrito (Carne Asada)
    Range $12.50–$14 depending on meat.
    SRC Verified · Yelp menu · 2026-05-12
▸ Still under eleven dollars

Restaurants still selling a real burrito for under $11.

These are not loss-leaders. They are independent, hand-pressed-tortilla operations that have, for whatever reason, not joined the rest of the curve.

§ Interactive

The Tortilla Time Machine.

Drag the year. See what your money used to buy — and what it doesn't anymore.

2006when a burrito cost $5.30
200620162026
If burrito had tracked CPI
$8.54
Inflation-adjusted "fair price" in 2026
Actual 2026 nat'l avg
$10.40
22% above CPI prediction
And in Orinda, California, May 2026...
$25.00
193% above what a 2006 burrito should cost today
What else $5.30 bought in 2006 → today
🌯Chipotle Chicken Burritoburritos
1.0 in 20060.5 in 2026
Gallon of Gasgallons
2.0 in 20061.5 in 2026
🥚Dozen Eggsdozens
3.4 in 20061.1 in 2026
🥛Gallon of Milkgallons
1.8 in 20061.3 in 2026
🍔Big Macburgers
1.7 in 20060.9 in 2026
💵Federal Min. Wagehours
1.0 in 20060.7 in 2026
Source: BLS, EIA, Census ACS, NATO, Economist Big Mac Index
§ Manifesto

Why a Burrito Index.

Economists track a basket of roughly 80,000 items to measure inflation. This site tracks one of them, in detail: the burrito. It is, on its face, a silly choice. It is also a genuinely good one.

A burrito sits at the intersection of nearly every input that makes American lunch expensive — the tortilla (wheat, corn), the protein (beef, chicken, pork), the avocado (Michoacán), the labor (a person, in front of you, by hand), the rent (a storefront, often urban), and increasingly the platform fee (DoorDash or Uber, 18–30%). When the burrito gets more expensive, it is rarely about the burrito.

Since 2006, when Chipotle went public selling a chicken burrito for $5.30, that same item has risen to $10.95 — a 107% increase. The Consumer Price Index over the same window: 61%. The gap is wide enough to matter and stable enough to study.

We call it burritonomics. It is, more usefully, a tractable lens on Baumol's cost disease, minimum wage policy, the geography of supply chains, and the slow upmarket migration of fast food. Every named restaurant in our dataset links to a verifiable public source. Every chart cites a BLS series. The methodology section at the bottom of the page shows our work.

We will publish a refreshed index monthly. If you spot a verifiable burrito price we should add — chain or independent, anywhere in the country — submit it on the right. Include the restaurant's website. We'll do the rest.

— The Editors, est. May 2026

Field Report · Submit a Sighting
Saw a wild burrito?

We need more data points. Tell us what you paid, where, and for what.

✉ Email to Editors
§ Marginalia

Stuff We Couldn't Stop Thinking About.

+107%

Chipotle chicken burrito price increase since 2006. CPI over the same period: +61%. The burrito has lapped headline inflation by a factor of nearly two.

2.76×

the gap between California's $20.00 fast-food minimum wage and the federal $7.25 floor. The states that decided to pay people more have the more expensive burritos.

60%

of Chipotle's core customers earn $100K+, per CEO Scott Boatwright (Feb 2026). Fast-casual is no longer particularly casual.

$0.99

the average upcharge for guacamole in 2006. In 2026, it's roughly $2.85 — an 188% increase, almost entirely driven by the Michoacán supply chain.

26%

premium Washington, D.C. pays for guacamole versus Nebraska. The geography of the avocado is its own inflation story.

3,578

Chipotle locations operating in the U.S. as of 2026 — up from roughly 580 at IPO.

+21.9%

egg prices rose in 2025 thanks to avian flu, per BLS. Breakfast burritos took the punch directly.

1961

the year the Mission burrito was allegedly invented at El Faro, S.F. It cost approximately one quarter.

§ Methodology

How we built this index.

Every line on this site is meant to be checkable. This section shows our work.

Last full refresh2026-05-12
Restaurants tracked70
Verified ≤ 90 days70
Refresh cadenceMonthly

What we mean by 'a burrito'

The unit of analysis is the signature single-item burrito on a restaurant's menu — the one most representative of how that place actually sells lunch. For a chain like Chipotle, that's a chicken burrito with the standard fillings, no upcharges. For an independent like La Azteca, it's the menu item they're known for (the chile relleno burrito). Tax, tip, and platform fees are excluded. Combos, kids' menus, catering pricing, and limited-time-offer items are excluded.

Where the prices come from

We use a four-tier provenance system, with each restaurant tagged accordingly:
    Official menufetched from the restaurant's own website within the past 90 days.
    Toast / Yelp menuscraped from a major online-ordering surface (still primary, but third-party).
    News / coveragetaken from a recent piece of reporting in a publication of record (Eater, SFGATE, Bloomberg, etc.) — used when a restaurant has no public online menu.
    Unverifiedthe price is widely reported but we have not yet confirmed it from a primary source. We re-check these every month and either promote them up or remove them from the dataset.

The Tortilla Pain Index

The TPI is a deliberately simple linear score: it takes the median verified burrito price for a city, anchors $5 = 0 and $25 = 100, and reports the result on that 0–100 scale. It is not adjusted for cost of living, portion size, or quality. It is meant to be a quick orienting number, not a substitute for the full chart. The five verdict bands ("Affordable", "Market rate", "Above the curve", "Premium tier", "High-cost market") are descriptive, not normative.

The inflation comparison

We use BLS CPI-U All Items (series CUUR0000SA0) and CPI-U Food Away From Home (series CUUR0000SEFV), both at December year-end values, rebased to 2006 = 100. The "what the burrito should cost" calculation is 5.30 × (CPI_today / CPI_2006).

What we will never publish

We do not name a specific restaurant unless its price is on a public surface (their own menu, a Toast ordering page, a Yelp menu listing, or a piece of reporting that names them). We do not call out individual restaurants whose prices we cannot verify. We do not anonymize a price tag and gesture darkly at a specific suburb — we either publish the source or we don't publish the data point.

Submitting corrections

If you spot a wrong price, a closed restaurant, or a great independent we're missing, use the form in the Manifesto section above. Include the restaurant's menu URL. We rebuild the dataset monthly and ship the diff to the public repo at lexhallenberger/the-tortilla-index.